Prediction of Kenta Miyoshi vs Quinn Vandecasteele at Champaign Challenger 11-10-25

• Quinn Vandecasteele demonstrates a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 45.53% of points relative to Kenta Miyoshi's 44.14% in the past six months.
• Conversely, Kenta Miyoshi has shown superior skills in returning opponents' second serves, winning 50.43% of points compared to Vandecasteele's 47.28%.
• Who has the upper hand when it comes to returning first serves? Quinn Vandecasteele narrowly does, with a 26.87% win rate against Miyoshi's 25.77%.
• Under breakpoint pressure, Vandecasteele excels, saving 58.22% of breakpoints, while Miyoshi manages to save 53.20%.
• Examining overall match performance the previous year, Vandecasteele shows a slightly better win rate at 51.56%, compared to Miyoshi's 50.00%.
• Surface preferences differ as Vandecasteele performs best on grass and Miyoshi on clay, posing an interesting matchup dynamic.
• Analyzing tournament level experience, Vandecasteele plays mostly Futures/ITF $10K events, winning 52.78%, while Miyoshi competes in higher-level Challengers/ITF >$10K events, winning 47.06%.
• In their sole head-to-head encounter, Vandecasteele was victorious, winning in straight sets against Miyoshi at the Fairfield Challenger.
• Looking at the quality of opposition, Miyoshi has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average opponent rank of 368.4 to Vandecasteele's 409.11.
• In deciding sets, Miyoshi has a better track record, winning 38% of them compared to Vandecasteele's 33% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (November 11, 2025, UTC):

In recent months, both Quinn Vandecasteele and Kenta Miyoshi have displayed comparable playing strengths, with Vandecasteele enjoying a marginal advantage in second serve performance. This metric often correlates strongly with match outcomes, favoring him in upcoming matches.

While Miyoshi shows excellent results in returning second serves, Vandecasteele's ability to handle pressure by saving a higher percentage of breakpoints and winning historical head-to-head encounters gives him an edge.

Despite Miyoshi's proficiency against slightly higher-ranked opponents and better performance in deciding sets, these advantages may not be enough to offset Vandecasteele's consistent superiority over their past matchup and his recent overall better performance stats.

The grass surface doesn't factor heavily into this match, but Vandecasteele's success on his preferred surface reflects an adaptable player ready to face Miyoshi's clay-specific strengths.

Taking all statistics into account, it's likely that Quinn Vandecasteele will emerge as the winner in their upcoming match.